Case Analysis and Using Evidence
Postgraduate marketing and business courses teach and assess through cases: a real or realistic organisation, a decision it faces, and a request for a recommendation you can defend. By the end of this module you'll be able to tell describing a case from analysing it; work through a case with a repeatable process from situation to recommendation; use the business model, SWOT and PESTLE as prompts rather than end products; judge a source's quality with the CRAAP test (Blakeslee, 2004); and build an argument that links each claim to evidence through explicit reasoning. The running case is Kettle & Crumb, the course's fictional independent bakery-café business in Sheffield, which now faces a decision about how to grow.
Source Credibility Scorecard
Score up to five sources on currency, relevance, authority, accuracy and purpose, and see which ones are strong enough to build your argument on.
3.1How Cases Work: Describing Versus Analysing
A teaching case, often just called a case study, is a written account of a real or realistic organisation at a moment of choice. It gives you a situation, the people involved, some numbers and usually more detail than you need, and then it stops before anyone decides. The protagonist is the person through whose eyes the case is told; the decision-maker is the person who must choose, and they are not always the same: in Kettle & Crumb's case Dan analyses, but Maria decides. Business schools use cases because they let you practise judgement safely: you weigh incomplete information, commit to a view and defend it, as a manager would, without the cost of getting it wrong in a real business.
Ellet (2018) groups cases by the task they set. A problem case asks you to diagnose why something is happening, such as falling sales. A decision case asks you to choose between options. An evaluation case asks you to judge how well something worked, such as a campaign or a strategy. Spotting the type early tells you what your answer has to deliver.
The most common mistake new students make is to describe the case rather than analyse it. Description retells what the case says, usually in the order the case says it. Analysis selects the facts that matter, connects them, explains what they mean for the decision and judges which matter most. At postgraduate level, markers give few marks for retelling: they assume you have read the case and want to see what you made of it.
A useful habit is to read a case twice. The first time, read it straight through to get the story. The second time, sort what you read into three piles: facts you could check, opinions held by people in the case, and gaps where information you need is missing. Opinions are evidence of what someone believes, not of what is true, and gaps become assumptions you must label as assumptions. Finally, remember that most cases have no single right answer. You are marked on the quality of your reasoning, so a well-argued recommendation for the less popular option can outscore a weak argument for the obvious one.
3.2A Process for Case Analysis: From Situation to Recommendation
A process stops you jumping straight to a favourite answer. This module uses six steps. Situation: summarise what is going on, briefly. Problem or decision: say what actually has to be solved or decided. Analysis: use evidence and simple lenses to understand the causes and the forces at work. Options: set out the realistic choices. Criteria: agree what a good choice must achieve. Recommendation: choose, say why, and say what would need to be true for it to work. In practice you loop back, because analysis often reveals that the first problem statement was wrong, but the order keeps you honest.
The second step matters most. Cases are full of symptoms: sales are flat, staff are stretched, a competitor has opened nearby. A symptom is what you can see; a cause is why it is happening. Keep asking "why?" until you reach something the organisation can act on. Then write a decision question: one sentence that says who must decide what, by when, and to achieve what. A good decision question rules things out. "How can we grow?" invites a list of ideas; "Which of two investments should we commit to, to grow over the next three years?" invites a choice.
Options should be genuinely different, realistic and few, usually two or three. Always include a baseline of carrying on as now, because every option has to beat it. If two options could be combined, say so, and treat the combination as a further option rather than pretending they exclude each other.
Criteria are the tests a good option must pass, such as up-front cost, risk if things go wrong, fit with what the organisation already does well, or time until it pays back. Agree them before you judge the options. Otherwise it is tempting to pick the option you like and then choose criteria that flatter it. For each criterion, note how you would know whether an option meets it; that note tells you what evidence you will need, which is where Lesson 3.4 picks up.
3.3First-Pass Analysis Lenses: Business Model, SWOT and PESTLE
Once you know the decision, you need to understand the situation behind it. Analysis lenses help: they are sets of prompts that make sure you look in the right places. Used well, they surface what matters. Used badly, they produce long lists that look like analysis but say nothing about the decision.
Start with the business model you met in Module 1. Ask which building blocks each option would change. An option that adds a new customer segment or revenue stream changes the business more than one that adds another outlet of the same kind, and the blocks that change are where the risks and the evidence needs sit.
SWOT sorts what you find into four boxes. Strengths and weaknesses are internal: things the organisation has or does, such as skills, capacity, reputation or finances. Opportunities and threats are external: things happening around it, such as customer trends, competitors or a new partner. A common error is to put an internal fact in an external box, so check each entry with the question "is this about us, or about the world around us?" Note too that the same fact can be a strength for one option and a weakness for another.
PESTLE is a prompt for the external environment: political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental factors. For a large organisation in many markets, all six may matter. For a single decision in a small business, usually only two or three do, such as the local economy, a shift in what customers value, or a change in the rules on food labelling. Pick those and leave the rest out. Deeper use of these tools belongs to a strategy course; here they are first-pass prompts.
Every lens needs the "so what?" test. After each point, ask "so what does this mean for the decision?" and write the answer in one sentence: which option it favours, what risk it raises, or what you now need to check. A SWOT with a "so what?" after every entry is analysis. A SWOT without one is a list, and a list is where analysis starts, not where it ends.
3.4Judging Evidence: Sources, Samples and the CRAAP Test
Evidence is any information you use to support a claim, and it is only as good as its source. Primary evidence is collected first-hand for the question at hand: a survey you run, interviews, your own sales records, a count you make yourself. Secondary evidence was collected by someone else for another purpose: published reports, articles, official statistics. Primary evidence fits your question closely but is often small-scale; secondary evidence is often larger and more expert but was built for someone else's question.
Secondary sources come in broad families. Academic sources, such as peer-reviewed journal articles, have been checked by other experts before publication. Official sources, such as government statistics, follow published methods. Trade sources, such as industry associations and trade magazines, know a sector well but may speak for it. Grey sources, such as consultancy reports, company white papers and blogs, vary widely and need the most care.
The CRAAP test, developed by Sarah Blakeslee at the Meriam Library, California State University, Chico (Blakeslee, 2004), gives you five questions to ask of any source. Currency: when was it produced, and is that recent enough for your question? Relevance: does it address your question, market and customers? Authority: who produced it, and are they qualified to? Accuracy: is it supported by evidence, with a method you can see and figures you could check? Purpose: why does it exist: to inform, to persuade or to sell? This module adds a sixth: fit to my question, because a good source on the wrong question is still the wrong source.
For surveys, also ask who answered, how many, how they were chosen and what share of those asked replied. A survey of your most loyal customers can be accurate about them and still mislead about everyone else; this is sample bias. Watch for claims without evidence too. A figure with no source, no period and no base ("up 30%" from what, since when, and where?) cannot be checked, so it cannot carry weight, however confident it sounds.
The same habits apply to answers from generative AI tools. They can write fluently, summarise wrongly and give references that do not exist or do not say what is claimed. Treat an AI answer as a lead, not a source: trace each fact you want to use to the original publication, read it there, and cite that. Rules on using AI in assessed work differ between institutions and change often, so always follow your own institution's current policy. Scoring sources is a judgement, not a calculation, so record a reason beside every score.
3.5From Evidence to Argument: Claim, Evidence and Reasoning
An argument is not an opinion stated firmly. It is a claim supported by evidence, with reasoning that shows why the evidence supports the claim. Toulmin (1958) set out a fuller model of how practical arguments work, with six parts: the claim, the data offered for it, the warrant that licenses the step from data to claim, backing for the warrant, a qualifier showing how strong the claim is, and rebuttals stating when it would not hold. This module uses a simplification of our own: claim, evidence and reasoning, plus an honest statement of limits.
The claim is the point you want your reader to accept. The evidence is what you offer in support: figures, findings, quotations, observations. The reasoning is the link, and it is the part beginners most often leave out. Placing a statistic next to a claim does not show that it supports the claim; you have to say why it does. A useful check is to read your reasoning sentence on its own and ask whether a sceptical reader would agree that, if the evidence is true, the claim follows.
Real cases contain conflicting evidence. Weigh it by quality, not by quantity: one well-collected, relevant source can outweigh three weak ones, which is why you scored your sources in Lesson 3.4 before arguing. Then face the strongest objection to your claim, not the weakest. Say what the counter-evidence is, and explain why your claim still stands or how you have narrowed it to survive. An argument that ignores obvious counter-evidence loses the reader's trust, even if its conclusion is right.
Finally, state your limits. Which evidence is thin, which figures are assumptions, and what would change your mind? Use proportionate language: "the survey suggests", "on this evidence", "if the footfall pattern holds". Words such as "proves" and "clearly" promise more than a business case can usually deliver. Stating limits is not weakness. It shows a marker, or a managing director, that you know exactly how far your evidence goes, and it tells them what to check next.
Dan Frames Kettle & Crumb's Growth Decision
Maria has asked, "How should Kettle & Crumb grow over the next three years?" Dan writes a decision question: "Should Maria commit Kettle & Crumb this autumn to a fourth café in Hillsborough (Option A, fit-out £180,000), a wholesale contract with Peak Pantry (Option B, set-up £25,000), or carrying on as now, to grow over the next three years?" His criteria: up-front investment, risk if it underperforms, fit with what the business does well, and evidence of demand.
SWOT, each entry with its "so what?"
- Strength: the central bakery runs at about 70% of capacity. So what? Option B's volume can be baked in-house with a second deck oven.
- Weakness: wholesale is a small line, £271,200 (15.1% of revenue) spread across 12 independent delis and cafés. So what? Peak Pantry's £150,000 would make one customer 35.6% of wholesale revenue, a concentration risk for Option B.
- Opportunity: Peak Pantry, 14 farm shops, wants local bakes. So what? A route to new customers, but the demand rests on an unsourced claim.
- Threat: Tuesday footfall at Hillsborough (1,380) is about 36% below Saturday's (2,150). So what? Option A may depend on thinner weekday trade.
Scoring the evidence. Dan scores each source 1–5 in the Source Credibility Scorecard. Relevance, accuracy and fit to his question are weighted 3; currency, authority and purpose 2, so the maximum is 75.
| Source | Cur. | Rel. | Auth. | Acc. | Purp. | Fit | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2026 survey | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 56 (75%) |
| Footfall counts | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 51 (68%) |
| Peak Pantry claim | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 (37%) |
The survey is recent and relevant, but its 412 responses (9.8% of 4,200 members) come only from the loyalty app, so accuracy scores 3: it speaks for loyal customers, not Hillsborough passers-by or farm-shop shoppers. The footfall counts are first-hand but cover two days, 8am–2pm, counting passers-by, not buyers. The buyer's "sales of local bread are up 30%" gives no source, period or base, and was written to win a contract: purpose scores 1.
No source covers both options evenly, and the claim cannot carry weight. He will ask Peak Pantry for its source, period and base.
Knowledge Check
A student's case answer opens: "Kettle & Crumb has three cafés in Sheffield and supplies bread and cakes to 12 delis and cafés." Is this description or analysis, and what would turn it into analysis?
It is description, because it retells facts the reader already has; it becomes analysis when it says what those facts mean for the decision, for example that wholesale already exists as a capability, which makes Option B an extension of what the business does rather than a new venture.Why is a SWOT without a "so what?" after each entry not yet analysis?
A SWOT only sorts facts into boxes; the analysis is the link from each fact to the decision (which option it favours, what risk it raises or what must be checked), and an entry that cannot be linked to the decision does not belong in the answer.Kettle & Crumb's March 2026 survey found that 58% of 412 respondents visit weekly or more. Why can't Dan use this to judge demand for a café in Hillsborough?
Only loyalty-app members took part, and the 412 responses equal just 9.8% of the 4,200 members, so the sample is biased towards the most committed existing customers; it says little about Hillsborough passers-by who have never visited, which is exactly whose behaviour Option A depends on.The Peak Pantry buyer writes that "sales of local bread are up 30%". Which three things would you ask for before giving the figure any weight, and why?
The source, the period and the base: without them you cannot tell whose sales rose, over what time or from what starting level (30% of a tiny base is very little), and a buyer trying to win a contract has a purpose to persuade, so the claim fails the accuracy and purpose tests until it is backed.Dan's footfall counts show 2,150 passers-by on a Saturday and 1,380 on a Tuesday. A colleague says "the Saturday figure proves Hillsborough is busy enough for a café". What is missing from the argument?
The reasoning and the limits: passers-by are not customers, two days of counts from 8am to 2pm cannot show a year's pattern, and the lower weekday figure is counter-evidence, so a fair claim is that the counts suggest reasonable weekend footfall, to be checked with more days.Recall the nine building blocks of the business model from Module 1. Which block would Option B change most, and why does that matter for the analysis?
Customer segments, because Peak Pantry, and the farm-shop shoppers behind it, would be a new and much larger wholesale customer (with knock-on changes to revenue streams, key partnerships and key resources such as the second deck oven and van); it matters because the evidence about that segment is the weakest in the case, so that is where the analysis must probe hardest.
Resources & Further Practice
- The CRAAP test: Blakeslee, S. (2004) 'The CRAAP test', LOEX Quarterly, 31(3), article 4, free at commons.emich.edu/loexquarterly/vol31/iss3/4 — the short original article behind this module's scoring criteria.
- Analysing and writing about cases: Ellet, W. (2018) The Case Study Handbook: A Student's Guide, revised edn, Boston: Harvard Business Review Press — how to recognise problem, decision and evaluation cases and write a case analysis.
- Critical thinking and evidence: Cottrell, S. (2023) Critical Thinking Skills: Effective Analysis, Argument and Reflection, 4th edn, London: Bloomsbury Academic — a step-by-step guide to spotting arguments, judging evidence and writing critically, with practice activities.
- The model behind claim, evidence and reasoning: Toulmin, S. (1958) The Uses of Argument, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press (updated edition 2003) — the fuller model of claim, data, warrant, backing, qualifier and rebuttal that this module simplifies.
- Checking claims you meet online: Full Fact's free Misinformation Toolkit (fullfact.org/misinformation-toolkit/), from the UK fact-checking charity, built around three questions: where is it from, what's missing, and how does it make you feel?
- Your institution's AI policy: before using generative AI in any assessed work, read your own university's or employer's current guidance; rules differ and change often.
- Further practice: score the evidence for your own decision in the Source Credibility Scorecard, including one published source you have found yourself, and carry the strongest sources into the Evidence section of Module 6.
Reflect on Your Case Analysis
- What I analysed: name the decision you framed, write your decision question and list the options you compared (or use a past role, a course or a business you plan, if you are not working now).
- What I now trust less: name the source you trusted less after scoring it in the Source Credibility Scorecard, and the CRAAP question that changed your mind.
- What I'll check next time: write the one thing you will check before you believe a statistic, for example its source, its period, its base or who was asked.
Did this module make sense?
Thanks for saying so: the Faculty sees every “not really”.
Which part lost you? (optional, anonymous)
Thanks: that tells the Faculty exactly where to look.
In the meantime:
Another way in
If the lessons felt like a stack of frameworks, try thinking of a case as a courtroom. The decision question is the charge: the one thing the court has to decide. Your recommendation is your verdict, and your claim is what you ask the jury to accept. Evidence is the exhibits: the survey, the footfall counts, the buyer's email. Reasoning is what a good barrister does with each exhibit, explaining to the jury why it matters. Without that step an exhibit is just an object on a table. Judging sources is cross-examination. Who produced this? When? Could they be mistaken? What do they gain if we believe them? A witness who says "sales are up 30%" but cannot say whose sales, since when or from what level would be torn apart in court, however confident they sounded.
The misconception this analogy fixes is the idea that a SWOT is the analysis. A SWOT is the evidence locker: it holds the exhibits, sorted into four boxes, but it argues nothing. Nobody wins a case by wheeling the locker into court. Take one entry, ask "so what does this mean for the verdict?", and write that sentence. Do that for three entries and you have started to analyse.
Key terms in this module
- Case study (teaching case)
- A written account of a real or realistic organisation facing a decision, used to practise analysis and judgement.
- Primary evidence
- Information collected first-hand for the question at hand, such as a survey, interviews or sales records.
- Secondary evidence
- Information someone else collected for another purpose, such as published reports, articles and official statistics.
- CRAAP test
- A checklist for judging a source by its Currency, Relevance, Authority, Accuracy and Purpose (Blakeslee, 2004).
- Claim
- The point an argument asks the reader to accept; it needs evidence and reasoning that links the two.
Thanks. Good to hear.