Hirst AcademyMarketing in Practice
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Module 6

KPIs, Analytics and Baselines

Estimated time: 5–6 hours · Gives you the starting numbers every later plan, campaign and ROI figure is measured against.

Why it matters. Every plan you write from here on will promise to improve something. If you don't know where it starts, you'll never know whether you did. Early in a marketing job you're often handed a dashboard full of numbers that don't connect to any objective. This topic teaches you to choose the few numbers that matter for your organisation, find where each one starts, and say honestly how sure you are. Then you'll bring the whole Foundation stage together in Milestone 1: a strategic audit of your organisation, ending with the three issues you'd act on first.

Progress marker: I can set KPIs with baselines and write a strategic audit of my organisation. Rate yourself now on this marker (not yet, with support, independently or could teach it) and note your rating in your portfolio.

Choose your route. On a first pass, work through the lessons in order: each one builds the next section of the Strategic Audit Builder, and Lesson 6.5 needs the KPIs and baselines from the lessons before it. If you already have KPIs and want to check them, start at Lesson 6.3 and read the worked example first. If your manager has asked for a dashboard this week, read Lesson 6.4, then come back to Lesson 6.1.

Interactive Tool

Strategic Audit Builder

Milestone 1: your marketplace scan, customer insight, target segment, proposition, compliance fixes, KPIs with baselines and the three issues to act on, as one printable strategic audit.

Open the tool →
6.1

From Objectives to KPIs

You met the customer funnel in Module 3, with a goal for each stage: get noticed, get considered, get chosen, get chosen again. Now you turn those goals into numbers.

Objectives come first. A KPI (key performance indicator) is one of the few measures that show whether an objective is being met. So start with the objective, not the data. A useful objective is SMART: specific, measurable, achievable, relevant and time-bound. "Grow the business" is a wish. "Grow repeat bookings from 30% to 35% of all bookings by 31 March next year" is an objective you can measure.

The KPI tree. Draw it from the top down:

  1. The business goal, such as more revenue, more members or lower costs.
  2. The marketing objectives that drive it, such as more first-time customers or fewer customers leaving.
  3. The KPIs that show each objective moving.

Every KPI should link upwards to an objective. If it doesn't, it may be interesting, but it isn't a KPI for this goal.

One KPI per funnel stage. Pick one measure for each stage you care about. Awareness might be visits from new users. Consideration might be enquiries or product page views. Purchase might be the conversion rate. Loyalty might be the repeat rate or the churn rate.

Leading and lagging. A lagging indicator tells you what has already happened, such as revenue or customers lost. A leading indicator moves first and gives you warning, such as sign-ups started this week. You need both: lagging to judge results, leading to act in time.

Vanity metrics. A vanity metric looks impressive but doesn't show whether an objective is being met: followers, likes, impressions, total page views. Ask: "If this number doubled, what would we do differently?" If the answer is "nothing", leave it off.

UK example: the GOV.UK Service Manual. Its page "Data you must publish" (last updated 6 April 2021) tells government service teams they must publish data on four mandatory KPIs: cost per transaction, user satisfaction, completion rate and digital take-up. Four numbers cover what a service costs, whether users are happy, whether they finish the task and whether they choose the online route. That's the lesson for you: a small, balanced set, each tied to what the service is for.

Learning ObjectiveTurn your organisation's business and marketing objectives into a small set of KPIs, with one for each funnel stage you care about, and no vanity metrics.
Key ConceptsSMART objectives; a KPI tree from a business goal down to marketing measures; KPIs for each funnel stage (awareness, consideration, purchase, loyalty); leading and lagging indicators; vanity metrics.
Practical ExampleUK example: the GOV.UK Service Manual tells government service teams to publish four KPIs (cost per transaction, user satisfaction, completion rate and digital take-up), a small set tied to what each service is for.
ExerciseDraw a KPI tree for your organisation: one business goal at the top, the marketing objectives under it, and three to six KPIs at the bottom, each marked leading or lagging. Add the KPIs to the KPIs and baselines section of the Strategic Audit Builder.
6.2

Analytics Essentials

You've chosen your KPIs. Now find out where each number comes from, and what could make it wrong.

How web analytics works. A small piece of code, called a tag, sits on each page of a website. When something happens, such as a page loading, a click, a sign-up or a purchase, the tag sends a record to the analytics tool. Each record is an event. Events from one visit are grouped into a session, which ends after a period of inactivity. A conversion is an event you've marked as one that matters. Google Analytics 4 (GA4) is one widely used example. It is built around events, and it now calls the events you mark as important "key events"; Google Ads still calls them conversions. Menus and names change, so learn the ideas, not the buttons.

Web analytics isn't the only source. Sales usually come from the shop or booking system, subscribers from the subscription system, opens from the email platform, and reach from each social platform's insights. For money, the order system is usually more reliable than analytics.

Campaign tags. UTM parameters are labels added to the end of a link you share: utm_source (who sent it, such as newsletter), utm_medium (the kind of channel, such as email) and utm_campaign (which campaign). Google's help page says the values are case sensitive, so "Email" and "email" show as two lines. Agree one naming list. Untagged links often show up as direct visits, and the campaign loses the credit.

Consent. You met cookie consent in Module 5; now see what it does to your numbers. The ICO's guidance on storage and access technologies, updated after the Data (Use and Access) Act 2025, describes an exception for analytics used only to collect statistics to improve your own service: visitors must get clear information and an easy way to object. If the same data is used for advertising, consent is needed. Either way, visits from people who decline or object are usually missing or only estimated, so analytics usually undercounts. This isn't legal advice: check the ICO's current guidance.

Data quality problems to look for: pages with missing tags; bots and your own staff's visits; consent gaps; test or duplicate orders; and a definition that changed partway through the year.

AI activity. Give an AI assistant a simple chart or table with no personal data, such as twelve months of website visits, and ask it why a number changed. Then check each reason it gives against what else you know: campaigns you ran, the calendar, website changes, tracking changes. Mark each reason confirmed, possible or guessed. The AI can't see your calendar, so it often fills the gap with a confident guess.

Learning ObjectiveExplain how web analytics collects data, how campaign tags and consent affect it, and where each of your KPIs' data comes from.
Key ConceptsSessions, events and conversions (GA4's "key events" as one example); UTM campaign tags (utm_source, utm_medium, utm_campaign); consent and the analytics exception for cookies; data quality problems (missing tags, bots and internal visits, consent gaps, changed definitions); checking an AI explanation of a number.
Practical ExampleA charity tags the link in its spring appeal email with utm_source=newsletter, utm_medium=email and utm_campaign=spring_appeal, so donations from that email show up as one line in its analytics reports instead of disappearing into "direct" visits.
ExerciseAI activity first. Then list where the data for each of your organisation's KPIs comes from: the system, who can access it, and one thing that could make it wrong.
6.3

Setting Baselines

A baseline is the value of a measure before you change anything. It's the starting point for every target and the yardstick for every result. Read the worked example later in this topic before you start: it sets Larkfield's baselines and shows the "from the outside" method.

Start with last year. The best baseline is your organisation's own figures for the last full year, or the same period you'll later judge results on. Three rules keep it honest:

  • Same period: compare like with like, a year with a year or a quarter with the same quarter.
  • Same definition: if "active subscribers" means the average over the year, keep it that way; don't switch to the year-end figure.
  • Check it adds up: orders times average order value should equal revenue, and revenue should match the accounts.

Seasonality. Many organisations have busy and quiet months. A garden centre peaks in spring; Larkfield's gift buying is concentrated before Christmas. So compare a campaign month with the same month last year, not the month before. Otherwise the season gets the credit, or the blame, for your marketing.

When there's no data. Many learners can't see internal figures, and that's fine. Estimate from public information instead: a free traffic-estimate tool, the number of public reviews, follower counts on each platform, or accounts filed at Companies House (larger companies show turnover; many small ones file shorter accounts without it). Write "estimate" beside the figure, with the source, the date and why you trust it. An honest estimate is useful. An unlabelled guess is dangerous, because the next person will treat it as fact.

How reliable is it? Use the same scale as your topic 1 source log:

  • High: your organisation's own records, checked against another source.
  • Medium: your own analytics with known gaps, or a well-documented public source.
  • Low: outside tool estimates and figures worked out from clues.

A flat baseline matters too. If a number has been steady, that tells you what would probably happen if you did nothing different. You'll need that when you judge whether a campaign really worked, later in the course.

Learning ObjectiveFind or estimate a baseline for each KPI, and say how reliable each one is and why.
Key ConceptsBaselines from last year's figures; the same period and the same definition; seasonality; checking that figures add up; estimates from public sources labelled as assumptions; high, medium and low reliability.
Practical ExampleRead the worked example later in this topic first: Larkfield Coffee Roasters (fictional) sets baselines for its online shop from a year of its own figures, then shows how an outsider would estimate one from a free tool.
ExerciseGive each of your organisation's KPIs a baseline, its source and a reliability rating with a one-line reason, in the KPIs and baselines section of the Strategic Audit Builder. Where you have no internal data, estimate from public sources and label it.
6.4

Dashboards That Lead to Decisions

A dashboard is not a report of everything you can count. It's a single page that helps someone decide what to do next. Most dashboards fail because they show too much and nobody knows what any number is for.

Keep it short. Four to eight KPIs on one page, taken from your KPI tree. If someone asks for a number to be added, ask which decision it will inform.

Give each KPI five things:

  1. An owner: the person or role who explains why it moved and acts on it. If you work alone, the owner can be "me" or a role such as "marketing lead".
  2. A baseline: where it started, from Lesson 6.3.
  3. A target: where the objective says it should be, and by when.
  4. A rhythm: how often it's checked. Leading indicators might be weekly; lagging ones monthly or quarterly.
  5. A decision: write it as "If this falls below X, we will...". If you can't finish the sentence, question whether the KPI belongs on the page.

Show change, not just numbers. "2,400 members" means little on its own. "2,400, up 150 on the baseline of 2,250, target 2,500" tells you where you are. Where there's a season, show the same period last year beside it.

Colours need rules. Red, amber and green are quick to read, but only if you've decided in advance what each colour means. Otherwise people argue about colours instead of acting.

Sketch it first. A pencil sketch or a simple table is enough for this task. Later you might build it in a spreadsheet or a free dashboard tool such as Looker Studio, but the thinking is the same. Test the sketch with one question: could someone pick it up on a Monday morning and know what to do?

Learning ObjectiveSketch a one-page dashboard where every KPI has an owner, a target, a comparison with its baseline and a decision it informs.
Key ConceptsFew KPIs, not many; an owner and a target for each; change against baseline, not a number on its own; the decision each number informs; how often to look.
Practical ExampleA dental practice's dashboard has four lines, each with an owner: new patient enquiries, the share booked, missed appointments, and online review rating. Missed appointments rising above baseline triggers a decision: send reminder texts a day earlier.
ExerciseSketch a one-page dashboard for your organisation in the Dashboard section of the Strategic Audit Builder: for each KPI, its owner, baseline, target, how often it's checked and the decision it informs.
6.5

Milestone 1: The Strategic Audit

You've now built every piece of your Foundation stage work. A strategic audit puts it together: a structured review of where your organisation stands now, ending with the main issues to act on. It's Milestone 1, and the Practitioner stage starts from it. Read the worked example later in this topic first: it shows Maya Collins's audit for Larkfield.

The sections, each drawn from earlier work:

SectionFrom
Marketplace and environmentYour map, scan and three implications, topic 1
Customers and insightYour research and insight statements, topic 2
Target and path to purchaseYour target segment, persona and path, topic 3
Proposition and 7PsYour proposition and the gaps you found, topic 4
Compliance fixesYour fix list, topic 5
KPIs, baselines and dashboardThis topic

Summarise, don't paste. Each section needs two or three sentences and the evidence behind them. Keep it in the present tense: this is where the organisation is, not what you plan. Then name your weakest evidence. Every audit has some, and saying so is a strength.

Choosing three issues. An issue is a problem or an opportunity that matters to the business goal. Test each candidate:

  • Does it link to a KPI, so you'll know if it improves?
  • Is there evidence for it, or only a hunch?
  • Can marketing act on it?

Leadership: make the call. This is your first leadership moment in the course. You'll rarely have perfect evidence, and a list of fifteen problems isn't a decision. Choose three. For each, say why it matters, what the evidence is and what would change your mind. If someone more senior disagrees, your evidence is what you bring to the conversation.

Your three issues become the starting point for your campaign plan's objectives at Milestone 2, and your baselines are what you'll judge results against at the end of the course.

Learning ObjectiveWrite a strategic audit of your organisation that brings together its market, customers, target, proposition, compliance and performance, and make a clear call on the three issues to act on.
Key ConceptsThe strategic audit as a picture of where the organisation stands now; drawing on topics 1 to 6; evidence for every statement; weakest evidence named; choosing three issues; leadership as making a clear call from the evidence.
Practical ExampleRead the worked example later in this topic first: Maya Collins summarises Larkfield's market, customers, target, proposition, compliance and baselines, and ends with three issues, each with its evidence, naming the weakest.
ExerciseComplete every section of the Strategic Audit Builder in the Strategic Audit Builder for your organisation, copying in your work from topics 1 to 5, and finish with the three issues you'd act on first and the evidence for each.
Worked Example

Larkfield's Baselines and Strategic Audit

Larkfield is fictional; its figures are illustrative. Leo Grant sets the shop's baselines for the year to 31 March 2026; Maya Collins writes the audit.

KPIBaselineSourceReliability
Website sessions320,000Web analyticsMedium: undercounts (consent)
One-off conversion rate2.0%: 6,400 ordersShop orders ÷ sessionsMedium: relies on sessions
Average order value£27.00Shop order systemHigh
Active subscribers1,800 (yearly average)Subscription systemHigh
Monthly churn5%, about 90 cancellationsSubscription systemHigh
New subscribersAbout 90 a monthSubscription systemHigh
Email list9,500 contactsEmail platformMedium: pre-ticked box

Does it add up? 6,400 orders × £27.00 = £172,800 one-off. 1,800 × £17.00 × 12 = £367,200 subscriptions. Total £540,000, the shop's revenue in Module 1.

From the outside. A free traffic-estimate tool shows about 25,000 visits a month against Leo's 26,700 (320,000 ÷ 12): close, but labelled "estimate, low reliability".

Maya's audit.

SectionSummary
Marketplace and environmentOnline shop: 45% of £1.2m; more home brewing, shoppers comparing price per bag, rising expectations on packaging and sourcing claims
Customers and insightFreshness drives subscriptions; coffee building up: 39 of 96 former subscribers surveyed
Target and pathHome Brew Enthusiasts first, Gift Buyers at Christmas; Jordan's path: trial bag to subscription
Proposition and 7Ps"Roasted in Derby, at your door within three days of roasting"; gap: the packaging claim
Compliance fixesPackaging claim, pre-ticked box, "ethically sourced", phone cancellation

Three issues. (1) Subscriber growth has stalled: about 90 join and 90 leave each month, yet subscriptions are £367,200 of £540,000. What would change Maya's mind: joiners outnumbering leavers for several months. (2) The sign-up journey, which every subscriber passes through, loses people. This is the weakest evidence: there's no completion figure yet, so it gets measured in Module 8; if most people who start sign-up already finish it, the issue is dropped. (3) Claims and consent: Module 5 found the four faults listed above. They risk customers' trust; the issue is dropped only if a fresh check finds all four already fixed.

Knowledge Check

  1. You met the customer funnel in Module 3. A bike repair shop wants one KPI for each stage. Suggest one for awareness, consideration, purchase and loyalty, and say which is a leading indicator.
    For example: website visits from new users (awareness), quote requests (consideration), the share of quotes that become booked jobs (purchase) and customers who return within a year (loyalty); quote requests are leading, because they move before bookings and revenue do.
  2. A colleague reports that the organisation's Instagram followers rose by 40% last quarter and calls it the team's best KPI. What would you ask?
    "If this number doubled, what would we do differently?" and "Which objective does it link to?"; followers are usually a vanity metric, so replace them with a measure tied to an objective, such as sign-ups from Instagram traffic tracked with UTM tags.
  3. A charity's newsletter links are tagged utm_medium=Email in one issue and utm_medium=email in the next, and the SMS links aren't tagged at all. What will its analytics reports show?
    Two separate lines for the same channel, because UTM values are case sensitive, and the SMS visits mostly counted as direct, so that campaign loses the credit; agree one lower-case naming list and tag every shared link.
  4. A garden centre ran an online campaign in April and compares April's sales with March's, then says the campaign worked. What's wrong with the baseline?
    It ignores seasonality: spring is the garden centre's busy period, so April would usually beat March anyway; compare April with April last year, using the same definition, so the season doesn't take the campaign's credit.
  5. A learner with no internal data finds about 4,000 visits a month for their organisation in a free traffic-estimate tool and writes "4,000 visits a month" in their audit. What should they change?
    Label it as an estimate with the tool, the date and a low reliability rating; an outside estimate can be close, as Larkfield's 25,000 against its own 26,700 showed, but without a label the next person will treat it as fact.
  6. A colleague's strategic audit ends with fourteen issues, all marked "important". How would you get it to three, and what should each one carry?
    Test each issue: does it link to a KPI, is there evidence for it, and can marketing act on it? Keep the three that pass best, and give each why it matters, the evidence and what would change your mind; making that call is the leadership the audit asks for.

Resources & Further Practice

  • The UK example at source: GOV.UK Service Manual, "Data you must publish" (gov.uk/service-manual/measuring-success/data-you-must-publish, last updated 6 April 2021), sets out the four mandatory KPIs for government services and what each measures.
  • Campaign tags: Google Analytics Help, "URL builders: Collect campaign data with custom URLs" (support.google.com/analytics/answer/10917952), lists the UTM parameters, says their values are case sensitive and links to a free URL builder.
  • Analytics and consent: the ICO's guidance on the use of storage and access technologies, final version published 29 April 2026; its page "What are the exceptions?" (ico.org.uk, under For organisations, Direct marketing and privacy and electronic communications) explains the statistical purposes exception and its conditions. Check the current version; this isn't legal advice.
  • Where SMART came from: Doran, G.T. (1981) "There's a S.M.A.R.T. way to write management's goals and objectives", Management Review, 70(11), pp. 35–36, the article usually credited with SMART; Doran's own letters (specific, measurable, assignable, realistic, time-related) differ slightly from the version used today.
  • Further practice: complete every section of the Strategic Audit Builder for your organisation and print it as Milestone 1; your baselines are what you'll judge results against later in the course, so keep the sources and reliability ratings with them.
Checkpoint

Your Strategic Audit

  • What I made: my KPI tree, a baseline for each KPI with its source and reliability, a one-page dashboard, and my strategic audit with three issues, all saved in the Strategic Audit Builder.
  • My weakest evidence, and why I still trust the audit enough to act on it.
  • What I'd measure next to make that evidence stronger, and where the data would come from.
  • Rate yourself again on this topic's progress marker (not yet, with support, independently or could teach it) and note your before and after ratings in your portfolio. Then look back at the whole Foundation stage on the Progress Map in Module 1's tool: which marker moved most, and which still sits at "not yet"?
  • Choose what to do next: strengthen your weakest baseline with one more source before you go on, or start the Practitioner stage, where your three issues become your campaign plan's objectives.